Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-03 · 19:15
12.3440.2%
X3.0331.1%
23.2828.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Santa Clara
DLLLLWWLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Maritimo
LLWDLDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.40
1.60
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.40
Against
5.10
9.60
Total
8.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Santa Clara attack
1.00goals per matchMaritimo conceded1.50Matchup
Maritimo attack
0.40goals per matchSanta Clara conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.10
9.60
Match total
8.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.20
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.20N=10
Committed
16.50N=10
29.20
Match total
33.30
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.60
On target
2.40
8%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches128
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.2%41.4%+1.2 pp
Draw31.1%29.7%-1.4 pp
Away28.7%28.9%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.520.3%
BTTS46.1%
Historical average
1.16–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.2%
1-115.6%
0-19.4%
0-08.6%
2-08.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.19–4.30
Average total9.49
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=128.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.527.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%23.8%–51.1% CI
Draw FT34.1%21.9%–48.9% CI
Away FT29.5%18.2%–44.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.57
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals22.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.8%
Away40.9%