Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-03 · 19:15
12.3440.2%
X3.0331.1%
23.2828.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santa Clara
DLLLLWWLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Maritimo
LLWDLDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.40
1.60
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.40
Against
5.10
9.60
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

1.00goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.50
Matchup

Maritimo attack

0.40goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.10
9.60
Match total
8.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.20
Match total
5.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
16.50N=10
29.20
Match total
33.30

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.60
On target
2.40
8%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches128
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.2%41.4%+1.2 pp
Draw31.1%29.7%-1.4 pp
Away28.7%28.9%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.520.3%
BTTS46.1%

Historical average

1.161.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.2%
1-115.6%
0-19.4%
0-08.6%
2-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.194.30
Average total9.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=128.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%23.8%–51.1% CI
Draw FT34.1%21.9%–48.9% CI
Away FT29.5%18.2%–44.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals22.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.8%
Away40.9%