Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-01 · 21:15
11.5361.3%
X3.9423.8%
26.3114.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Lisbon
WWLLWWWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Gil Vicente
WLDDLDWWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.00
0.50
Conceded
1.10
20%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.30
Against
5.00
10.10
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
0.50
Goals conceded
1.10
1.90
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
1.40goals per matchGil Vicente conceded1.10Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
1.00goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.00
10.10
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.30
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.80N=10
Committed
18.30N=10
30.90
Match total
36.30
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
4.40
On target
4.00
10%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.3%66.7%+5.3 pp
Draw23.8%17.8%-6.0 pp
Away14.9%15.6%+0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.6%
BTTS51.1%
Historical average
2.02–0.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.8%
2-113.3%
2-28.9%
0-18.9%
5-16.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.09–3.44
Average total9.53
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.524.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI
Draw FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Away FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals23.5%
3+ goals11.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.7%
Away35.3%