Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-01 · 19:00
12.6235.8%
X3.0031.2%
22.8433.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Belenenses
WDLLWLWDDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Tondela
WLWLLWLLDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.60
1.60
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.20
0.60
2H goals
0.70
30%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.20
Against
7.20
9.90
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.60
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
1.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Belenenses attack

0.80goals per match
Tondela conceded1.30
Matchup

Tondela attack

0.60goals per match
Belenenses conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
30%3/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
6.20
Corners against
7.20
9.90
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.10
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

16.40N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
32.30
Match total
30.90

Shots

8.60N=10
Shots
7.50N=10
2.30
On target
2.20
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches102
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.8%29.4%-6.4 pp
Draw31.2%42.2%+10.9 pp
Away33.0%28.4%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.518.6%
BTTS56.9%

Historical average

1.141.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-125.5%
1-010.8%
0-08.8%
0-18.8%
2-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.274.27
Average total9.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=102.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.524.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%24.2%–53.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%35.2%–64.8% CI
Away FT12.5%5.5%–26.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.5%
2+ goals45.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away45.0%