Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-30 · 19:15
11.4166.9%
X4.4221.3%
28.0111.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
WLWLWLLWDD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Setubal
LWLWWDLDDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.70
Against
8.30
11.10
Total
12.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.50goals per match
Setubal conceded1.40
Matchup

Setubal attack

1.10goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.70
Corners against
8.30
11.10
Match total
12.20
100%10/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.80
Match total
5.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.70N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
31.40
Match total
33.70

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.50
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.9%76.9%+10.0 pp
Draw21.3%7.7%-13.6 pp
Away11.8%15.4%+3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.515.4%
BTTS38.5%

Historical average

1.850.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-023.1%
2-015.4%
2-115.4%
3-07.7%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.923.31
Average total11.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.9%
Over 9.576.9%
Over 10.569.2%
Over 11.538.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT6.3%1.1%–28.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away31.3%