Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-29 · 21:15
18.2811.3%
X4.2322.1%
21.4066.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Pacos Ferreira
LWLWDLLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Porto
DWDWWWWWLD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.80
1.20
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.50
Against
3.00
10.70
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Pacos Ferreira attack
1.00goals per matchPorto conceded0.80Matchup
Porto attack
1.80goals per matchPacos Ferreira conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.00
10.70
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.90
Match total
6.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
19.80N=10
Committed
15.90N=10
36.90
Match total
32.80
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.80
On target
4.90
8%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.3%10.0%-1.3 pp
Draw22.1%10.0%-12.1 pp
Away66.7%80.0%+13.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS40.0%
Historical average
0.50–1.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-140.0%
1-220.0%
1-110.0%
2-110.0%
0-510.0%
Comparable corner averages
3.20–5.30
Average total8.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.530.0%
Over 10.520.0%
Over 11.520.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home20.0%
Away80.0%