Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-29 · 18:00
16.9513.5%
X4.1922.4%
21.4664.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Maritimo
DDDWDLWLDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Benfica
WWWWWLWDDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.70N=10
5.70
Against
4.60
11.60
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
2.30
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Maritimo attack

1.30goals per match
Benfica conceded0.90
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.90goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.60
11.60
Match total
10.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.50
Match total
6.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

18.00N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
36.40
Match total
30.30

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.20
On target
4.60
12%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.5%13.6%+0.2 pp
Draw22.4%18.2%-4.2 pp
Away64.2%68.2%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.540.9%
BTTS59.1%

Historical average

0.912.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-218.2%
0-213.6%
2-213.6%
0-19.1%
1-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.955.86
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.522.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away75.0%