Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-29 · 17:00
14.4621.0%
X3.2928.4%
21.8550.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aves
LWLWLLLLLD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Moreirense
DDLLDWDDWD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
20%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.60
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
7.50
Against
6.80
12.50
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Aves attack

0.60goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.40goals per match
Aves conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
7.50
Corners against
6.80
12.50
Match total
9.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.40
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.80N=10
Committed
15.90N=10
35.30
Match total
31.00

Shots

7.60N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
2.70
On target
2.80
8%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.0%33.3%+12.4 pp
Draw28.4%20.0%-8.4 pp
Away50.6%46.7%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.526.7%
Over 3.513.3%
BTTS40.0%

Historical average

1.001.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-020.0%
1-213.3%
0-213.3%
0-113.3%
1-113.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.135.33
Average total9.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.526.7%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away50.0%