Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-29 · 17:00
14.4621.0%
X3.2928.4%
21.8550.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Aves
LWLWLLLLLD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Moreirense
DDLLDWDDWD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
20%
20%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.60
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
7.50
Against
6.80
12.50
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Aves attack
0.60goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.10Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.40goals per matchAves conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
7.50
Corners against
6.80
12.50
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.40
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.80N=10
Committed
15.90N=10
35.30
Match total
31.00
Shots
7.60N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
2.70
On target
2.80
8%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.0%33.3%+12.4 pp
Draw28.4%20.0%-8.4 pp
Away50.6%46.7%-3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.526.7%
Over 3.513.3%
BTTS40.0%
Historical average
1.00–1.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-020.0%
1-213.3%
0-213.3%
0-113.3%
1-113.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.13–5.33
Average total9.47
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.526.7%
Over 11.520.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.0%
Away50.0%