Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-28 · 21:00
12.5736.3%
X2.9032.2%
22.9731.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Boavista
WLLDLWLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Santa Clara
DDWLWWLDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.70N=10
6.00
Against
6.10
10.50
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.20
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Boavista attack

1.00goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.20
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

1.50goals per match
Boavista conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
6.00
Corners against
6.10
10.50
Match total
11.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
6.00
Match total
5.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

17.20N=10
Committed
16.40N=10
33.30
Match total
31.70

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
7.20N=10
3.90
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
21%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.3%30.2%-6.1 pp
Draw32.2%37.2%+5.0 pp
Away31.4%32.6%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.59.3%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.021.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.9%
1-216.3%
0-014.0%
1-014.0%
0-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.844.02
Average total8.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.548.8%
Over 9.534.9%
Over 10.525.6%
Over 11.516.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Draw FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Away FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.1%
Away33.3%