Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-26 · 19:15
15.4417.3%
X3.6925.5%
21.6557.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Belenenses
WWDLLWLWDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WWLLWWLDLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.20
0.70
2H goals
1.60
40%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
6.10
Against
4.70
9.70
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Belenenses attack

1.00goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.30
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.50goals per match
Belenenses conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
6.10
Corners against
4.70
9.70
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.10
Match total
6.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.50N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
32.50
Match total
30.70

Shots

8.60N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
2.50
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.3%5.3%-12.1 pp
Draw25.5%26.3%+0.8 pp
Away57.1%68.4%+11.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.521.1%
BTTS57.9%

Historical average

0.791.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-126.3%
1-121.1%
1-215.8%
1-310.5%
2-310.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.375.63
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.536.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI

Remaining goals

0.93

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home20.0%
Away60.0%