Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-24 · 21:15
12.8433.0%
X3.3128.3%
22.4238.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
DDWWLLDWWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Famalicao
WLDLLWDLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.50
Against
6.00
11.50
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
2.90
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.50goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.70
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.20goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.50
Corners against
6.00
11.50
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.00
Match total
5.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
31.70
Match total
30.50

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.10
On target
4.40
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches50
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.0%34.0%+1.0 pp
Draw28.3%28.0%-0.3 pp
Away38.7%38.0%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.528.0%
BTTS62.0%

Historical average

1.261.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.0%
2-114.0%
0-112.0%
1-010.0%
3-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.424.72
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=50.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.546.0%
Over 11.536.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Draw FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI
Away FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals45.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away70.0%