Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-23 · 19:15
11.2774.3%
X5.6316.8%
210.568.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WWWWWWWLDD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Santa Clara
LDDWLWWLDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.10
0.50
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

9.50N=10
For
5.60N=10
2.90
Against
6.10
12.40
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.10
0.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.10goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.10
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

1.10goals per match
Benfica conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.50N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
2.90
Corners against
6.10
12.40
Match total
11.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.50
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
23.60
Match total
31.40

Shots

18.10N=10
Shots
7.20N=10
6.20
On target
2.90
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.3%94.4%+20.1 pp
Draw16.8%5.6%-11.2 pp
Away8.9%0.0%-8.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.538.9%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

2.330.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-127.8%
1-022.2%
3-122.2%
2-05.6%
3-05.6%

Comparable corner averages

8.002.22
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.2%
Over 9.561.1%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT75.0%46.8%–91.1% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–24.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.83

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home83.3%
Away25.0%