Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-23 · 19:15
11.2774.3%
X5.6316.8%
210.568.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Benfica
WWWWWWWLDD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Santa Clara
LDDWLWWLDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.10
0.50
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
9.50N=10
For
5.60N=10
2.90
Against
6.10
12.40
Total
11.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.10
0.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Benfica attack
2.10goals per matchSanta Clara conceded1.10Matchup
Santa Clara attack
1.10goals per matchBenfica conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
9.50N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
2.90
Corners against
6.10
12.40
Match total
11.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.50
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
23.60
Match total
31.40
Shots
18.10N=10
Shots
7.20N=10
6.20
On target
2.90
12%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.3%94.4%+20.1 pp
Draw16.8%5.6%-11.2 pp
Away8.9%0.0%-8.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.538.9%
BTTS66.7%
Historical average
2.33–0.72
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-127.8%
1-022.2%
3-122.2%
2-05.6%
3-05.6%
Comparable corner averages
8.00–2.22
Average total10.22
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.2%
Over 9.561.1%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT75.0%46.8%–91.1% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–24.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.83
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home83.3%
Away25.0%