Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-21 · 21:00
11.5759.5%
X3.7824.7%
25.9315.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gil Vicente
DDWWDWLLDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Aves
LLLLLLWDLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.00
Against
9.40
9.40
Total
13.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.30goals per match
Aves conceded1.80
Matchup

Aves attack

0.90goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
9.40
9.40
Match total
13.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.40
Match total
5.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.80N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
34.10
Match total
32.20

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
4.60
On target
2.60
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.5%44.4%-15.1 pp
Draw24.7%33.3%+8.6 pp
Away15.8%22.2%+6.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS72.2%

Historical average

1.671.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-122.2%
3-111.1%
2-111.1%
2-211.1%
1-05.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.114.06
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.561.1%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Draw FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Away FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away66.7%