Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-19 · 19:00
11.5261.5%
X4.0423.1%
26.0615.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
WWLWLWLLWD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Moreirense
LDDLLDWDDW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.50
Against
6.80
11.30
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.50goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.20
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.40goals per match
Guimaraes conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
2.30N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.80
11.30
Match total
9.10
100%10/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.20
Match total
5.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
16.90N=10
32.70
Match total
31.80

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.50
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.5%59.6%-1.8 pp
Draw23.1%23.1%-0.0 pp
Away15.4%17.3%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.534.6%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

1.980.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.5%
3-011.5%
1-09.6%
2-19.6%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.634.12
Average total10.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.559.6%
Over 10.553.8%
Over 11.544.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals6.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.7%
Away46.7%