Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-18 · 21:15
11.4166.3%
X4.3721.4%
27.6212.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WWWLLWWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Tondela
DWLWLLWLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.60
0.60
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
0.70
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.10
Against
7.40
9.80
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.60
0.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
1.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.50goals per match
Tondela conceded1.10
Matchup

Tondela attack

0.60goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.10
Corners against
7.40
9.80
Match total
10.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.20
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
28.90
Match total
31.10

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
4.80
On target
1.90
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.3%71.4%+5.1 pp
Draw21.4%7.1%-14.3 pp
Away12.3%21.4%+9.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.557.1%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS35.7%

Historical average

2.000.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-121.4%
1-021.4%
0-114.3%
5-014.3%
0-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.862.57
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.564.3%
Over 10.557.1%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.6%33.7%–75.4% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals27.8%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.1%
Away38.9%