Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-18 · 19:00
12.0645.4%
X3.0530.7%
23.9223.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Boavista
DWLLDLWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Setubal
DLWLWWDLDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.20
20%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.30
Against
8.70
10.10
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
1.80
Total goals
2.30
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Boavista attack

0.70goals per match
Setubal conceded1.20
Matchup

Setubal attack

1.10goals per match
Boavista conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.30
Corners against
8.70
10.10
Match total
12.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.10
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

17.60N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
33.60
Match total
32.80

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
3.60
On target
3.20
6%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.4%48.6%+3.2 pp
Draw30.7%29.7%-1.0 pp
Away23.9%21.6%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS43.2%

Historical average

1.570.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-016.2%
1-113.5%
1-013.5%
0-18.1%
3-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.573.73
Average total9.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.532.4%
Over 11.524.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Draw FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Away FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.7%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away41.2%