Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-17 · 21:15
15.3917.4%
X3.7624.9%
21.6257.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
LDWWLWDDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Benfica
WWWWWWLWDD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
0.80
20%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
0.80
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.60
Against
4.70
10.50
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
0.80
1.90
Total goals
2.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.00goals per match
Benfica conceded0.80
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.80goals per match
Rio Ave conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.70
10.50
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.50
Match total
6.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
32.00
Match total
29.70

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.70
On target
4.50
9%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.4%17.2%-0.1 pp
Draw24.9%27.6%+2.7 pp
Away57.8%55.2%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.534.5%
BTTS62.1%

Historical average

1.211.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.2%
2-213.8%
1-213.8%
1-110.3%
2-310.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.835.97
Average total10.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.562.1%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.541.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.0%
Away70.0%