Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-16 · 21:15
114.626.4%
X6.6914.0%
21.1879.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aves
LLWLWLLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Porto
WDWDWWWWWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.90
1.60
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.50N=10
7.10
Against
2.90
12.60
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.90
1.60
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Aves attack

0.60goals per match
Porto conceded0.80
Matchup

Porto attack

1.90goals per match
Aves conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
7.10
Corners against
2.90
12.60
Match total
8.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.70
Match total
5.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.90N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
33.80
Match total
31.70

Shots

8.30N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
2.80
On target
4.60
7%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home6.4%0.0%-6.4 pp
Draw14.0%10.0%-4.0 pp
Away79.5%90.0%+10.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.602.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-230.0%
1-420.0%
1-220.0%
2-210.0%
0-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

2.607.10
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away80.0%