Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-12 · 21:15
11.3469.7%
X4.8219.4%
28.5211.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
LWWWLLWWWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Pacos Ferreira
LLLLWDLLWW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.30
Against
5.60
10.10
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
2.30
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.50goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded1.60
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

1.00goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.60
10.10
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.30
Match total
5.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
19.60N=10
27.70
Match total
35.60

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
5.10
On target
2.90
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.7%50.0%-19.7 pp
Draw19.4%35.7%+16.3 pp
Away11.0%14.3%+3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.571.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-028.6%
2-221.4%
1-114.3%
3-17.1%
3-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.073.14
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT83.3%55.2%–95.3% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.83

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home91.7%
Away33.3%