Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-12 · 21:15
11.3469.7%
X4.8219.4%
28.5211.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Lisbon
LWWWLLWWWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Pacos Ferreira
LLLLWDLLWW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.30
Against
5.60
10.10
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
2.30
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
1.50goals per matchPacos Ferreira conceded1.60Matchup
Pacos Ferreira attack
1.00goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.60
10.10
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.30
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.10N=10
Committed
19.60N=10
27.70
Match total
35.60
Shots
16.40N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
5.10
On target
2.90
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.7%50.0%-19.7 pp
Draw19.4%35.7%+16.3 pp
Away11.0%14.3%+3.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.57–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-028.6%
2-221.4%
1-114.3%
3-17.1%
3-07.1%
Comparable corner averages
7.07–3.14
Average total10.21
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT83.3%55.2%–95.3% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.83
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home91.7%
Away33.3%