Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-12 · 19:00
12.9631.6%
X3.3328.1%
22.3240.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
LDDWWLLDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Rio Ave
WDLLDWWWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
30%
90%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.40
Against
6.30
10.80
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
0.80
3.10
Total goals
2.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
90%9/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.60goals per match
Rio Ave conceded0.80
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.30goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.30
10.80
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.50
Match total
3.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
31.30
Match total
29.70

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
4.20
On target
2.60
15%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches77
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.6%35.1%+3.5 pp
Draw28.1%23.4%-4.7 pp
Away40.3%41.6%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.522.1%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

1.101.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.3%
1-111.7%
0-111.7%
0-29.1%
1-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.215.19
Average total10.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=77.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.05

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals14.3%
3+ goals4.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.6%
Away38.1%