Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-11 · 21:15
11.8251.4%
X3.4427.2%
24.3721.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Tondela
LLWLDDLDLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Aves
LLLLLLLWDL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
2.10
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.50
0.80
2H goals
1.60
50%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.50
Against
9.80
8.70
Total
13.40
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
2.10
1.90
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Tondela attack
0.60goals per matchAves conceded2.10Matchup
Aves attack
1.00goals per matchTondela conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
9.80
8.70
Match total
13.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.80
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
33.40
Match total
31.10
Shots
9.70N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
3.30
On target
2.70
6%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.4%48.7%-2.7 pp
Draw27.2%33.3%+6.1 pp
Away21.4%17.9%-3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS56.4%
Historical average
1.56–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.9%
1-010.3%
2-110.3%
3-110.3%
2-010.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.26–3.28
Average total9.54
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.548.7%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.523.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.3%
Away42.9%