Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-11 · 19:00
14.6720.1%
X3.6026.0%
21.7453.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Belenenses
LWWDLLWLWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Guimaraes
WLDDDDLWWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.90
1.60
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.20
0.80
2H goals
1.80
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
7.50N=10
4.90
Against
4.50
8.80
Total
12.00
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.50
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Belenenses attack

0.90goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.90goals per match
Belenenses conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
7.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.50
8.80
Match total
12.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.10
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.90N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
32.80
Match total
30.30

Shots

8.80N=10
Shots
15.10N=10
2.50
On target
6.00
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.1%13.3%-6.7 pp
Draw26.0%33.3%+7.3 pp
Away53.9%53.3%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

0.931.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-213.3%
0-113.3%
2-213.3%
1-113.3%
1-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.336.27
Average total10.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home27.3%
Away54.5%