Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-10 · 21:30
11.1680.7%
X7.0013.4%
215.805.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWWWLWWWD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Maritimo
DDLLWDLDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.40
0.60
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.70
0.90
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
2.30
Against
5.40
9.40
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.40
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
1.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Porto attack

1.90goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.30
Matchup

Maritimo attack

0.40goals per match
Porto conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
2.30
Corners against
5.40
9.40
Match total
8.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.60
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

17.50N=10
Committed
17.60N=10
31.90
Match total
33.30

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.90
On target
2.40
13%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.7%94.1%+13.4 pp
Draw13.4%5.9%-7.5 pp
Away5.9%0.0%-5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS17.6%

Historical average

2.530.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-023.5%
1-017.6%
4-017.6%
3-011.8%
0-05.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.762.18
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%52.3%–94.9% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.9%
Away18.2%