Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-10 · 19:15
17.7712.1%
X4.4021.3%
21.4166.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portimonense
LLDWDDLDDW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Benfica
WWWWWWWLWD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
0.70
20%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
0.80
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.70
Against
4.50
9.40
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
0.70
1.70
Total goals
2.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Portimonense attack

0.80goals per match
Benfica conceded0.70
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.80goals per match
Portimonense conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.50
9.40
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.40
Match total
6.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.20N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
32.30
Match total
28.90

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.20
On target
4.30
7%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.1%11.1%-1.0 pp
Draw21.3%22.2%+0.9 pp
Away66.6%66.7%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

0.831.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-233.3%
2-211.1%
1-211.1%
2-15.6%
0-45.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.837.33
Average total11.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.566.7%
Over 11.538.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals41.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away75.0%