Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-07 · 21:00
11.6357.3%
X3.6825.4%
25.3717.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
LLDWWLWDDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Pacos Ferreira
DLLLLWDLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
0.90
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
2.90
Against
5.40
9.80
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.00
Total goals
2.30
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.00goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded1.50
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

0.80goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
2.90
Corners against
5.40
9.80
Match total
10.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.10
Match total
5.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
19.30N=10
32.00
Match total
35.70

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
3.50
On target
2.80
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.3%46.2%-11.1 pp
Draw25.4%28.2%+2.8 pp
Away17.4%25.6%+8.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.528.2%
BTTS59.0%

Historical average

1.561.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.9%
2-012.8%
2-110.3%
3-110.3%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.133.90
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.0%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.548.7%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals78.6%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.6%
Away57.1%