Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-06 · 21:15
12.4538.1%
X3.0131.0%
23.0230.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Boavista
DDWLLDLWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Moreirense
LLDDLLDWDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.90
Against
6.70
10.50
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Boavista attack
0.80goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.40Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.30goals per matchBoavista conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
2.40N=10
5.90
Corners against
6.70
10.50
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.90
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.70N=10
Committed
16.50N=10
33.00
Match total
30.60
Shots
11.00N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
3.10
On target
2.70
7%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches61
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.1%44.3%+6.2 pp
Draw31.0%29.5%-1.5 pp
Away30.9%26.2%-4.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.514.8%
BTTS49.2%
Historical average
1.21–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-121.3%
1-018.0%
2-113.1%
2-08.2%
0-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.30–4.28
Average total9.57
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=61.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.545.9%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.532.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.1%36.5%–75.5% CI
Draw FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI
Away FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.62
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.5%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals19.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home76.2%
Away42.9%