Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-06 · 21:15
12.4538.1%
X3.0131.0%
23.0230.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Boavista
DDWLLDLWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Moreirense
LLDDLLDWDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.90
Against
6.70
10.50
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Boavista attack

0.80goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.40
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.30goals per match
Boavista conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
2.40N=10
5.90
Corners against
6.70
10.50
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.90
Match total
5.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

17.70N=10
Committed
16.50N=10
33.00
Match total
30.60

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
3.10
On target
2.70
7%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches61
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.1%44.3%+6.2 pp
Draw31.0%29.5%-1.5 pp
Away30.9%26.2%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.514.8%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

1.211.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-121.3%
1-018.0%
2-113.1%
2-08.2%
0-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.304.28
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=61.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.545.9%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.1%36.5%–75.5% CI
Draw FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI
Away FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.5%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.2%
Away42.9%