Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-05 · 21:15
12.8632.7%
X3.1829.4%
22.4737.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Aves
LLLWLWLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Belenenses
WLLLWLLLWD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
5.00N=10
7.40
Against
7.80
12.70
Total
12.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.90
2.10
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Aves attack
0.60goals per matchBelenenses conceded1.90Matchup
Belenenses attack
1.00goals per matchAves conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
7.40
Corners against
7.80
12.70
Match total
12.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.50
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.40N=10
Committed
16.10N=10
33.70
Match total
30.00
Shots
8.00N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
2.80
On target
3.10
8%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.7%37.3%+4.5 pp
Draw29.4%25.5%-3.9 pp
Away37.9%37.3%-0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.517.6%
BTTS52.9%
Historical average
1.14–1.24
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-117.6%
1-115.7%
0-115.7%
1-09.8%
1-25.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.00–5.04
Average total10.04
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.9%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.525.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Draw FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Away FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.65
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals29.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.8%
Away70.6%