Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-04 · 21:15
12.4238.7%
X3.2828.6%
22.8632.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Guimaraes
WWWLWLWLLW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Sp Lisbon
DWWLLWWLDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
8.00N=10
For
5.80N=10
3.80
Against
4.50
11.80
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.80goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded1.20Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
1.40goals per matchGuimaraes conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.50
11.80
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.10
Match total
6.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.70N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
31.00
Match total
30.20
Shots
13.50N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
5.00
On target
4.10
13%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.7%37.3%-1.4 pp
Draw28.6%25.4%-3.1 pp
Away32.7%37.3%+4.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.518.6%
BTTS47.5%
Historical average
1.19–1.19
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.6%
1-113.6%
0-110.2%
1-210.2%
2-010.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.68–4.39
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.9%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.532.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Draw FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI
Away FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.52
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals19.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away42.9%