Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-04 · 21:15
12.4238.7%
X3.2828.6%
22.8632.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
WWWLWLWLLW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Sp Lisbon
DWWLLWWLDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

8.00N=10
For
5.80N=10
3.80
Against
4.50
11.80
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.80goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.20
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.40goals per match
Guimaraes conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.50
11.80
Match total
10.30
100%10/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.10
Match total
6.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
31.00
Match total
30.20

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
5.00
On target
4.10
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.7%37.3%-1.4 pp
Draw28.6%25.4%-3.1 pp
Away32.7%37.3%+4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.518.6%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

1.191.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.6%
1-113.6%
0-110.2%
1-210.2%
2-010.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.684.39
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.9%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Draw FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI
Away FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away42.9%