Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-04 · 19:15
11.1680.9%
X6.9913.4%
216.455.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WWWWWWWWLD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Tondela
WDWLWLLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.00
0.50
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

9.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.60
Against
6.80
12.60
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.30goals per match
Tondela conceded1.30
Matchup

Tondela attack

1.00goals per match
Benfica conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.00N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.80
12.60
Match total
9.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.90
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
24.00
Match total
32.10

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
6.10
On target
2.30
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.9%100.0%+19.1 pp
Draw13.4%0.0%-13.4 pp
Away5.7%0.0%-5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.554.5%
BTTS27.3%

Historical average

3.360.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-018.2%
2-018.2%
3-19.1%
1-09.1%
5-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.092.18
Average total9.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.545.5%
Over 9.536.4%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT90.0%59.6%–98.2% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home100.0%
Away20.0%