Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-04 · 18:00
12.2242.2%
X3.0930.3%
23.4027.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Maritimo
LWDDDWDLWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Setubal
LDLWLWWDLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.60N=10
6.30
Against
9.10
12.20
Total
12.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Maritimo attack

1.30goals per match
Setubal conceded1.20
Matchup

Setubal attack

1.00goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
6.30
Corners against
9.10
12.20
Match total
12.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.40
Match total
5.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.50N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
36.10
Match total
30.30

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
3.70
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches129
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.2%44.2%+2.0 pp
Draw30.3%34.1%+3.8 pp
Away27.5%21.7%-5.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.514.7%
BTTS43.4%

Historical average

1.230.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.8%
1-016.3%
0-012.4%
2-09.3%
0-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.154.13
Average total9.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=129.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.0%
Over 9.543.4%
Over 10.534.1%
Over 11.522.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%24.5%–48.8% CI
Draw FT44.6%32.4%–57.6% CI
Away FT19.6%11.3%–31.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals19.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away41.1%