Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-03 · 21:15
16.9513.5%
X4.5420.6%
21.4265.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Famalicao
WWDLWDLLDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Porto
WWDWDWWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
2.10
1.90
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.70
2.20
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
5.80N=10
3.70
Against
2.90
10.10
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
2.10
1.90
Goals conceded
0.80
3.70
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.80goals per match
Porto conceded0.80
Matchup

Porto attack

2.10goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
3.70
Corners against
2.90
10.10
Match total
8.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.70
Match total
5.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

17.00N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
30.60
Match total
30.60

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
5.90
On target
4.60
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.5%18.2%+4.7 pp
Draw20.6%9.1%-11.5 pp
Away65.9%72.7%+6.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS36.4%

Historical average

0.821.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-227.3%
1-218.2%
0-49.1%
3-09.1%
2-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.096.64
Average total10.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.563.6%
Over 10.563.6%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Away FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.88

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals56.3%
3+ goals37.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away68.8%