Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 20:00
15.1518.2%
X3.6825.4%
21.6656.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Pacos Ferreira
WDLWLWDLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Guimaraes
DWLDDDDLWW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.80
1.00
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.60
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
7.80N=10
4.10
Against
4.50
10.50
Total
12.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
1.90
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Pacos Ferreira attack
0.90goals per matchGuimaraes conceded1.10Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.80goals per matchPacos Ferreira conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
7.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.50
10.50
Match total
12.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
6.60
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
20.20N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
37.30
Match total
30.40
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
15.30N=10
3.50
On target
6.10
7%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.2%5.9%-12.3 pp
Draw25.4%29.4%+4.0 pp
Away56.4%64.7%+8.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.517.6%
BTTS64.7%
Historical average
1.00–1.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-123.5%
1-123.5%
1-217.6%
0-25.9%
0-35.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.24–5.47
Average total9.71
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.535.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.07
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home28.6%
Away57.1%