Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 20:00
15.1518.2%
X3.6825.4%
21.6656.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Pacos Ferreira
WDLWLWDLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Guimaraes
DWLDDDDLWW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.80
1.00
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.60
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
7.80N=10
4.10
Against
4.50
10.50
Total
12.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
1.90
Total goals
2.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

0.90goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.80goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
7.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.50
10.50
Match total
12.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
6.60
Match total
4.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

20.20N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
37.30
Match total
30.40

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
15.30N=10
3.50
On target
6.10
7%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.2%5.9%-12.3 pp
Draw25.4%29.4%+4.0 pp
Away56.4%64.7%+8.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.517.6%
BTTS64.7%

Historical average

1.001.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-123.5%
1-123.5%
1-217.6%
0-25.9%
0-35.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.245.47
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home28.6%
Away57.1%