Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 17:30
11.2674.5%
X5.6016.8%
210.718.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Lisbon
LLWWWLLWWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Aves
LLLLLLLLWD
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
2.40
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.50
Against
8.70
9.00
Total
12.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
2.40
2.60
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
1.50goals per matchAves conceded2.40Matchup
Aves attack
1.10goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.50
Corners against
8.70
9.00
Match total
12.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.40
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.30N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
28.60
Match total
32.00
Shots
15.10N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
5.10
On target
2.50
10%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.5%88.2%+13.8 pp
Draw16.8%11.8%-5.0 pp
Away8.8%0.0%-8.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.547.1%
BTTS58.8%
Historical average
2.47–0.71
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-023.5%
2-117.6%
3-117.6%
2-211.8%
3-05.9%
Comparable corner averages
8.53–2.65
Average total11.18
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.588.2%
Over 9.582.4%
Over 10.564.7%
Over 11.535.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT83.3%60.8%–94.2% CI
Draw FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–17.6% CI
Remaining goals
2.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals44.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home88.9%
Away27.8%