Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 17:30
11.2674.5%
X5.6016.8%
210.718.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
LLWWWLLWWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Aves
LLLLLLLLWD
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
2.40
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.50
Against
8.70
9.00
Total
12.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
2.40
2.60
Total goals
3.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.50goals per match
Aves conceded2.40
Matchup

Aves attack

1.10goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.50
Corners against
8.70
9.00
Match total
12.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.40
Match total
5.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
28.60
Match total
32.00

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
5.10
On target
2.50
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.5%88.2%+13.8 pp
Draw16.8%11.8%-5.0 pp
Away8.8%0.0%-8.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.547.1%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

2.470.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-023.5%
2-117.6%
3-117.6%
2-211.8%
3-05.9%

Comparable corner averages

8.532.65
Average total11.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.588.2%
Over 9.582.4%
Over 10.564.7%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT83.3%60.8%–94.2% CI
Draw FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–17.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals44.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home88.9%
Away27.8%