Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 17:00
12.0446.0%
X3.1829.5%
23.8224.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gil Vicente
DDDDWWDWLL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Santa Clara
DLLDDWLWWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
0.70
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.80N=10
3.90
Against
6.70
9.50
Total
12.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
2.30
Total goals
1.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.20goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.00
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

0.80goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.70
9.50
Match total
12.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.10
Match total
5.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
32.80
Match total
29.90

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.90
On target
3.00
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.0%48.1%+2.2 pp
Draw29.5%27.8%-1.7 pp
Away24.5%24.1%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.529.6%
BTTS40.7%

Historical average

1.410.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-016.7%
1-013.0%
2-09.3%
0-19.3%
3-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.394.04
Average total9.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.524.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Draw FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Away FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal57.1%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away28.6%