Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 15:00
12.1643.3%
X3.1929.4%
23.4327.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
WLDDWWLLDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Maritimo
WDDLLWDLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.50
1.50
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
20%
90%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.60
1.50
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.40
Against
5.30
10.00
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
1.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.50goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.10
Matchup

Maritimo attack

0.50goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.30
10.00
Match total
8.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.80
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.00N=10
Committed
17.50N=10
32.90
Match total
33.90

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.10
On target
2.30
14%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches110
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%41.8%-1.5 pp
Draw29.4%34.5%+5.2 pp
Away27.3%23.6%-3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

1.250.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-014.5%
1-113.6%
1-011.8%
2-110.0%
0-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.464.39
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=110.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.2%27.0%–52.9% CI
Draw FT41.2%28.8%–54.8% CI
Away FT19.6%11.0%–32.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.6%
2+ goals31.4%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.0%
Away35.3%