Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 15:00
12.7234.4%
X3.4527.1%
22.4338.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Belenenses
LLWWDLLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Famalicao
DWWLDLLWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.30
1.70
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.80
0.90
2H goals
2.40
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.40
Against
6.70
8.30
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.70
Goals conceded
1.90
2.60
Total goals
3.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Belenenses attack

0.90goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.90
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.30goals per match
Belenenses conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
90%9/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.70
8.30
Match total
11.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.40
Match total
5.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.40N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
34.20
Match total
30.50

Shots

8.60N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
2.60
On target
4.80
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.4%41.5%+7.1 pp
Draw27.1%24.5%-2.6 pp
Away38.5%34.0%-4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS62.3%

Historical average

1.381.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.1%
1-113.2%
1-011.3%
1-29.4%
0-29.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.945.08
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.534.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.89

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals27.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away61.1%