Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 20:30
11.3370.2%
X4.8419.3%
28.9410.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWWWWLWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Rio Ave
WWDLLDWWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.50
0.50
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
3.10N=10
2.50
Against
5.50
9.40
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.50
0.50
Goals conceded
0.90
2.60
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.10goals per match
Rio Ave conceded0.90
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.50goals per match
Porto conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.50
9.40
Match total
8.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.70
Match total
3.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

18.30N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
32.50
Match total
30.90

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
5.40
On target
2.60
15%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.2%53.3%-16.9 pp
Draw19.3%33.3%+14.0 pp
Away10.5%13.3%+2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS46.7%

Historical average

1.670.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-026.7%
2-220.0%
3-013.3%
1-113.3%
3-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.602.93
Average total9.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.520.0%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away40.0%