Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 18:00
18.7410.7%
X4.5720.5%
21.3668.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Setubal
DWDDWDWLLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Benfica
WWWWWWWWLW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
2.10
1.00
Conceded
0.60
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.60
Against
4.80
10.50
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
2.10
1.00
Goals conceded
0.60
1.60
Total goals
2.70
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Setubal attack

0.60goals per match
Benfica conceded0.60
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.10goals per match
Setubal conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.80
10.50
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.30
Match total
5.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
29.30
Match total
29.00

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
2.40
On target
4.30
6%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.7%6.3%-4.5 pp
Draw20.5%25.0%+4.5 pp
Away68.8%68.8%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS43.8%

Historical average

0.692.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-118.8%
2-212.5%
0-212.5%
0-412.5%
1-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.256.56
Average total10.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.581.3%
Over 9.575.0%
Over 10.568.8%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT69.2%42.4%–87.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home15.4%
Away84.6%