Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-02 · 20:45
11.1779.9%
X6.9513.5%
214.076.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Benfica
LWWWWWWWWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Moreirense
DLLDDLLDWD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
1.20
0.60
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
8.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.00
Against
6.60
12.50
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Benfica attack
2.20goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.30Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.20goals per matchBenfica conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.50N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.60
12.50
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.20
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
17.70N=10
23.90
Match total
32.30
Shots
14.80N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
5.30
On target
2.80
15%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.9%93.8%+13.8 pp
Draw13.5%6.3%-7.2 pp
Away6.6%0.0%-6.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.512.5%
BTTS31.3%
Historical average
2.25–0.31
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-025.0%
1-018.8%
2-118.8%
3-018.8%
1-16.3%
Comparable corner averages
8.25–2.63
Average total10.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.537.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%52.3%–94.9% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals9.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.8%
Away27.3%