Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-02 · 20:45
11.1779.9%
X6.9513.5%
214.076.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
LWWWWWWWWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Moreirense
DLLDDLLDWD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.20
0.60
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

8.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.00
Against
6.60
12.50
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.20goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.30
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.20goals per match
Benfica conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.50N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.60
12.50
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.20
Match total
5.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
17.70N=10
23.90
Match total
32.30

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
5.30
On target
2.80
15%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.9%93.8%+13.8 pp
Draw13.5%6.3%-7.2 pp
Away6.6%0.0%-6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.512.5%
BTTS31.3%

Historical average

2.250.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-025.0%
1-018.8%
2-118.8%
3-018.8%
1-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

8.252.63
Average total10.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%52.3%–94.9% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away27.3%