Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-02 · 19:30
16.5514.3%
X4.1722.5%
21.4863.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Santa Clara
DWWDLLLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Porto
WWWDWDWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
2.10
1.10
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.70
1.30
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
5.90N=10
4.10
Against
3.20
9.70
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.10
1.10
Goals conceded
0.80
2.00
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Santa Clara attack
0.90goals per matchPorto conceded0.80Matchup
Porto attack
2.10goals per matchSanta Clara conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.20
9.70
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.70
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.20N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
28.30
Match total
30.10
Shots
14.00N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
3.70
On target
4.90
6%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.3%10.0%-4.3 pp
Draw22.5%10.0%-12.5 pp
Away63.3%80.0%+16.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS70.0%
Historical average
1.00–2.40
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-230.0%
2-310.0%
1-410.0%
1-010.0%
0-410.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.90–6.00
Average total10.90
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.570.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.530.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT60.0%35.7%–80.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.73
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals33.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.7%
Away73.3%