Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-02 · 19:30
16.5514.3%
X4.1722.5%
21.4863.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santa Clara
DWWDLLLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Porto
WWWDWDWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
2.10
1.10
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.70
1.30
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.90N=10
4.10
Against
3.20
9.70
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.10
1.10
Goals conceded
0.80
2.00
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

0.90goals per match
Porto conceded0.80
Matchup

Porto attack

2.10goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.20
9.70
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.70
Match total
5.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
28.30
Match total
30.10

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
3.70
On target
4.90
6%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.3%10.0%-4.3 pp
Draw22.5%10.0%-12.5 pp
Away63.3%80.0%+16.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS70.0%

Historical average

1.002.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-230.0%
2-310.0%
1-410.0%
1-010.0%
0-410.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.906.00
Average total10.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.570.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT60.0%35.7%–80.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.7%
Away73.3%