Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-01 · 20:00
11.3171.5%
X5.0618.5%
29.429.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Guimaraes
DWWWLWLWLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Tondela
WWDWLWLLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
8.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.90
Against
6.50
12.40
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.70goals per matchTondela conceded1.30Matchup
Tondela attack
1.30goals per matchGuimaraes conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.50
12.40
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.30
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.40N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
30.30
Match total
31.00
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
7.50N=10
4.90
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.5%61.5%-10.0 pp
Draw18.5%30.8%+12.2 pp
Away9.9%7.7%-2.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.553.8%
BTTS53.8%
Historical average
2.23–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-023.1%
3-115.4%
2-215.4%
3-07.7%
0-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
7.38–3.31
Average total10.69
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.523.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT75.0%46.8%–91.1% CI
Draw FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home75.0%
Away25.0%