Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-01 · 20:00
11.3171.5%
X5.0618.5%
29.429.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
DWWWLWLWLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Tondela
WWDWLWLLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

8.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.90
Against
6.50
12.40
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.70goals per match
Tondela conceded1.30
Matchup

Tondela attack

1.30goals per match
Guimaraes conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.50
12.40
Match total
9.80
100%10/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.30
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
30.30
Match total
31.00

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
7.50N=10
4.90
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.5%61.5%-10.0 pp
Draw18.5%30.8%+12.2 pp
Away9.9%7.7%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.553.8%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

2.230.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-023.1%
3-115.4%
2-215.4%
3-07.7%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.383.31
Average total10.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT75.0%46.8%–91.1% CI
Draw FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away25.0%