Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 18:00
11.4464.9%
X4.3721.4%
26.7813.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
DLLDWWLWDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Belenenses
DWLLLWLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.90
20%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
0.90
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.60
Against
7.50
9.80
Total
12.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
2.20
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.10goals per match
Belenenses conceded1.90
Matchup

Belenenses attack

1.00goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
7.50
9.80
Match total
12.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.70
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
31.70
Match total
29.00

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
3.50
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.9%78.6%+13.7 pp
Draw21.4%7.1%-14.2 pp
Away13.8%14.3%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.500.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-128.6%
6-114.3%
0-114.3%
2-014.3%
4-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.793.21
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.6%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT90.0%59.6%–98.2% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away20.0%