Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-28 · 20:30
11.7952.5%
X3.4127.6%
24.7219.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portimonense
DLLLDWDDLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Setubal
DLDLWLWWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
0.80
2H goals
1.30
50%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.00
Against
8.90
9.10
Total
12.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.00
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Portimonense attack

0.80goals per match
Setubal conceded1.20
Matchup

Setubal attack

1.00goals per match
Portimonense conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.00
Corners against
8.90
9.10
Match total
12.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.00
Match total
6.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.20N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
32.50
Match total
31.10

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.20
On target
3.00
6%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches42
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.5%50.0%-2.5 pp
Draw27.6%23.8%-3.8 pp
Away19.9%26.2%+6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.711.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-019.0%
0-19.5%
1-09.5%
2-37.1%
3-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.983.74
Average total8.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=42.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.8%
Over 9.528.6%
Over 10.521.4%
Over 11.516.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away42.9%