Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-24 · 19:30
17.0013.4%
X4.0123.4%
21.4863.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gil Vicente
WDDDDWWDWL
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Benfica
WWWWWWWWWL
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.20
1.10
Conceded
0.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.90
Against
4.40
9.00
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.20
1.10
Goals conceded
0.60
2.50
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.40goals per match
Benfica conceded0.60
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.20goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.40
9.00
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.50
Match total
6.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
32.50
Match total
27.40

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.90
On target
4.40
13%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.4%5.9%-7.5 pp
Draw23.4%11.8%-11.6 pp
Away63.3%82.4%+19.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS41.2%

Historical average

0.472.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-135.3%
1-217.6%
2-15.9%
0-45.9%
1-75.9%

Comparable corner averages

3.715.53
Average total9.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.9%
Over 9.541.2%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home20.0%
Away90.0%