Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 20:30
11.1779.9%
X6.7813.8%
214.946.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWWWWWLWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Portimonense
LDDLDLDLLL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
0.50
0.50
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
2.20
Against
3.60
9.00
Total
6.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.50
0.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.90
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.40goals per match
Portimonense conceded1.70
Matchup

Portimonense attack

0.50goals per match
Porto conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
2.20
Corners against
3.60
9.00
Match total
6.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.20
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

18.60N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
32.60
Match total
31.30

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
6.00
On target
2.80
17%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.9%100.0%+20.1 pp
Draw13.8%0.0%-13.8 pp
Away6.3%0.0%-6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS25.0%

Historical average

2.330.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-125.0%
1-025.0%
3-016.7%
2-016.7%
5-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

8.172.67
Average total10.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.541.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT84.6%57.8%–95.7% CI
Draw FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.6%
Away23.1%