Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 20:30
11.1779.9%
X6.7813.8%
214.946.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Porto
WWWWWWWLWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Portimonense
LDDLDLDLLL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
0.50
0.50
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.70
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
2.20
Against
3.60
9.00
Total
6.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.50
0.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.90
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Porto attack
2.40goals per matchPortimonense conceded1.70Matchup
Portimonense attack
0.50goals per matchPorto conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
2.20
Corners against
3.60
9.00
Match total
6.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.20
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
18.60N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
32.60
Match total
31.30
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
6.00
On target
2.80
17%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.9%100.0%+20.1 pp
Draw13.8%0.0%-13.8 pp
Away6.3%0.0%-6.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS25.0%
Historical average
2.33–0.25
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-125.0%
1-025.0%
3-016.7%
2-016.7%
5-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
8.17–2.67
Average total10.83
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.541.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT84.6%57.8%–95.7% CI
Draw FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals30.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home84.6%
Away23.1%