Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 17:30
11.5361.0%
X3.9023.9%
26.2115.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Lisbon
WLLWWWLLWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Boavista
DWDDLWLLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
10%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
0.50
100%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.70
Against
5.70
8.80
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
0.70
2.70
Total goals
1.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
1.50goals per matchBoavista conceded0.70Matchup
Boavista attack
0.70goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.70
8.80
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.80
Match total
6.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.60N=10
Committed
19.10N=10
28.70
Match total
34.80
Shots
15.50N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.30
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.0%57.9%-3.1 pp
Draw23.9%21.1%-2.9 pp
Away15.0%21.1%+6.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.539.5%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.92–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-115.8%
1-013.2%
2-210.5%
2-17.9%
4-17.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.71–3.71
Average total10.42
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.1%
Over 9.557.9%
Over 10.547.4%
Over 11.539.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Away FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals7.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away50.0%