Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 17:30
11.5361.0%
X3.9023.9%
26.2115.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WLLWWWLLWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Boavista
DWDDLWLLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
10%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
0.50
100%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.70
Against
5.70
8.80
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
0.70
2.70
Total goals
1.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.50goals per match
Boavista conceded0.70
Matchup

Boavista attack

0.70goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.70
8.80
Match total
10.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.80
Match total
6.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
19.10N=10
28.70
Match total
34.80

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.30
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.0%57.9%-3.1 pp
Draw23.9%21.1%-2.9 pp
Away15.0%21.1%+6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.539.5%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.920.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.8%
1-013.2%
2-210.5%
2-17.9%
4-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.713.71
Average total10.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.1%
Over 9.557.9%
Over 10.547.4%
Over 11.539.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Away FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away50.0%