Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 15:00
12.8932.3%
X3.1629.6%
22.4538.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Pacos Ferreira
LWDLWLWDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Famalicao
WDWWLDLLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
2.20
50%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.80
Against
7.70
10.50
Total
12.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.70
1.70
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Pacos Ferreira attack
0.70goals per matchFamalicao conceded1.70Matchup
Famalicao attack
1.40goals per matchPacos Ferreira conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
7.70
10.50
Match total
12.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
6.30
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
19.80N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
37.10
Match total
30.50
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
3.40
On target
4.90
5%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.3%35.3%+3.0 pp
Draw29.6%33.3%+3.8 pp
Away38.1%31.4%-6.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.515.7%
BTTS58.8%
Historical average
1.16–1.10
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-125.5%
0-115.7%
1-011.8%
2-111.8%
1-25.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.80–5.37
Average total10.18
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.556.9%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.525.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.4%27.3%–68.3% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.79
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal94.7%
2+ goals52.6%
3+ goals21.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.4%
Away68.4%