Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 15:00
12.4138.8%
X3.1230.0%
23.0031.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Moreirense
WWLDDWWLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Santa Clara
WDLLDDWLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
10%
80%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
0.60
90%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
5.90N=10
5.70
Against
7.40
10.50
Total
13.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
0.80
3.00
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.60goals per matchSanta Clara conceded0.80Matchup
Santa Clara attack
0.80goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
5.70
Corners against
7.40
10.50
Match total
13.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.70
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.90N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
32.40
Match total
30.50
Shots
10.70N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
4.10
On target
2.90
15%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches99
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%41.4%+2.6 pp
Draw30.0%34.3%+4.4 pp
Away31.2%24.2%-6.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS48.5%
Historical average
1.22–1.04
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.2%
1-116.2%
0-012.1%
0-18.1%
2-17.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.24–4.58
Average total9.82
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=99.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.527.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%20.2%–49.7% CI
Draw FT44.4%29.5%–60.4% CI
Away FT22.2%11.7%–38.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals22.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.6%
Away36.1%