Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 20:30
12.3140.5%
X3.1230.0%
23.1829.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Belenenses
LLLWWDLLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Maritimo
LWDDLLWDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.60
1.90
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.60
Against
5.70
9.00
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.60
1.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Belenenses attack

0.80goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.30
Matchup

Maritimo attack

0.60goals per match
Belenenses conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.70
9.00
Match total
8.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.40
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.70N=10
Committed
17.40N=10
33.00
Match total
34.50

Shots

8.40N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
2.40
On target
2.30
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches111
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.5%42.3%+1.8 pp
Draw30.0%25.2%-4.8 pp
Away29.4%32.4%+3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.301.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.7%
0-111.7%
1-011.7%
0-010.8%
2-19.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.254.83
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=111.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.4%9.8%–35.0% CI
Draw FT41.7%27.1%–57.8% CI
Away FT38.9%24.8%–55.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away50.0%