Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-21 · 20:30
16.9013.6%
X4.4221.2%
21.4465.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aves
WLLLLWLWLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Guimaraes
LDWLDDDDLW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.60
1.40
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
7.80N=10
7.50
Against
4.60
12.30
Total
12.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.60
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
3.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Aves attack

1.00goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.40
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.60goals per match
Aves conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
7.80N=10
7.50
Corners against
4.60
12.30
Match total
12.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.30
Match total
4.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

17.10N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
33.50
Match total
29.10

Shots

9.10N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
3.30
On target
6.00
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.6%11.1%-2.5 pp
Draw21.2%5.6%-15.7 pp
Away65.2%83.3%+18.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.577.8%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS61.1%

Historical average

0.832.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-222.2%
1-416.7%
0-416.7%
0-211.1%
2-35.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.396.44
Average total10.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.561.1%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Away FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals37.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.8%
Away68.8%