Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 20:00
11.5560.3%
X4.0822.9%
25.5916.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Famalicao
WWWWDLWDLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Aves
LLLLLLLLLW
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.10
1.90
Conceded
2.50
70%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.90
2.50
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.70
Against
8.00
9.10
Total
12.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.90
Goals conceded
2.50
3.80
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.90goals per match
Aves conceded2.50
Matchup

Aves attack

1.10goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.30
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
8.00
9.10
Match total
12.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.70
Match total
5.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.80N=10
Committed
15.90N=10
31.00
Match total
33.40

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
5.80
On target
2.30
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.3%64.7%+4.4 pp
Draw22.9%23.5%+0.6 pp
Away16.7%11.8%-5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

2.100.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.7%
2-011.8%
1-19.8%
3-07.8%
3-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.983.71
Average total10.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.4%
Over 9.564.7%
Over 10.554.9%
Over 11.541.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away36.4%